Climate change study had ‘significant error’: experts

Climate change study had ‘significant error’: experts

by Kerry Sheridan                    Kerry SheridanWed Jan 19, 11:33 am ET

WASHINGTON (AFP) – A climate change study that projected a 2.4 degree Celsius increase in temperature and massive worldwide food shortages in the next decade was seriously flawed, scientists said Wednesday.

The study was posted on the website of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and was written about by numerous international news agencies, including AFP.

But AAAS later retracted the study as experts cited numerous errors in its approach.

“A reporter with The Guardian alerted us yesterday to concerns about the news release submitted by Hoffman & Hoffman public relations,” said AAAS spokeswoman Ginger Pinholster in an email to AFP.

“We immediately contacted a climate change expert, who confirmed that the information raised many questions in his mind, too. We swiftly removed the news release from our Web site and contacted the submitting organization.”

Scientist Osvaldo Canziani, who was part of the 2007 Nobel Prize winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was listed as the scientific advisor to the report.

The IPCC, whose figures were cited as the basis for the study’s projections, and Al Gore jointly won the Nobel Prize for Peace in 2007 “for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change,” the prize committee said at the time.

Canziani’s spokesman said Tuesday he was ill and was unavailable for interviews.

The study cited the UN group’s figures for its projections, combined with “the business-as-usual path the world is currently following,” said lead author Liliana Hisas of the Universal Ecological Fund (UEF), a non-profit group headquartered in Argentina.

But climate scientist Rey Weymann told AFP that the “study contains a significant error in that it confuses ‘equilibrium’ temperature rise with ‘transient temperature rise.'”

He also noted that study author Hisas was told of the problems in advance of the report’s release.

“The author of the study was told by several of us about this error but she said it was too late to change it,” said Weymann.

Scientist Scott Mandia forwarded to AFP an email he said he sent to Hisas ahead of publication explaining why her figures did not add up, and noting that it would take “quite a few decades” to reach a warming level of 2.4 degrees Celsius.

“Even if we assume the higher end of the current warming rate, we should only be 0.2C warmer by 2020 than today,” Mandia wrote.

“To get to +2.4C the current trend would have to immediately increase almost ten-fold.”

Mandia described the mishap as an “honest and common mistake,” but said the matter would certainly give fuel to skeptics of humans’ role in climate change.

“More alarmism,” said Mandia. “Don’t get me wrong. We are headed to 2.4, it is just not going to happen in 2020.”

Many people do not understand the cumulative effect of carbon emissions and how they impact climate change, Mandia said.

“This is something that people don’t appreciate. We tied a record in 2010 (for temperature records) globally. That is primarily from the C02 we put in the atmosphere in the 70s and early 80s, and we have been ramping up since then,” he said.

“So it is not good. We are seeing the response from a mistake we were making 20 years ago, and we are making bigger mistakes today.”

The public relations firm that issued the report on the UEF’s behalf said the group stands by the study and would issue a statement to that effect.

Homeland Security to ‘battle’ climate change

Homeland Security to ‘battle’ climate change

Rick Moran


I imagine they’ll call this a “man
caused disaster” too:

At an all-day White House conference on “environmental justice,”
Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano announced that her department is
creating a new task force to battle the effects of climate change on domestic
security operations.
Speaking at the first White House Forum on Environmental Justice on Thursday,
Napolitano discussed the initial findings of the department’s recently created
“Climate Change and Adaptation Task Force.”
Napolitano explained that the task force was charged with “identifying and
assessing the impact that climate change could have on the missions and
operations of the Department of Homeland Security.”
According to the former Arizona governor, the task force would address
specific questions, including:
“How will FEMA work with state and local partners to plan for increased
flooding or wildfire or hurricane activity that is more serious than we’ve seen
before? What assistance can the Coast Guard bring to bear to assist remote
villages in, for example, Alaska which already have been negatively affected by
changes up in the Arctic?”

This sounds like a lot more fun than protecting the country from terrorists,
doesn’t it? It actually makes sense – if you believe that there will be
“increased flooding or wildfire or hurricane activity that is more serious than
we’ve seen before.” So far, sorry Janet but the disasters just aren’t big
enough. Of course, that won’t stop DHS from carving out a bureaucratic niche for
themselves so they can horn in on some of that global climate change dough the
government is throwing around.
Just another opportunity to grow the size of government at our

Page Printed from:

at December 18, 2010 – 11:35:17 AM CST

// <![CDATA[//