Will Scandal Drive Obama Off the 2012 Ticket?
the Democrats’ Obama Problem)
President Obama will not run in 2012. That prediction
seems reasonable in light of the following:
- His presidency is in shambles, shriveling up before
- His political poll numbers continue to weaken.
- Unemployment remains stubbornly high for a period of
time not seen since the Great Depression.
- The economy is listless, consumer sentiment is in the
sewer, foreclosures are ratcheting up, and the next financial crisis appears
- No economic variable has improved; some continue to
- The nation risks sovereign bankruptcy as a result of
Obama’s out-of-control spending.
- Obama is out of ideas and obviously well beyond his
Every time Obama speaks, he shows himself as more out
of touch with the country, its people, and their needs. He is an obvious
embarrassment to many. He has alienated independents and even some liberals.
He now appears to have adopted a strategy to appeal to the most radical in his
Either he is trying to avoid a shut-out in the coming
election by locking up some small number of votes or he is delusional. Seasoned
Democrats are dumbfounded by his performance, seeming to believe the delusional
possibility. Radicals have already rejected him and threaten to run a candidate
in the primaries.
Despite everything above, Obama intends to run in
2012. None of this fazes the Narcissist-In-Chief. He needs the spotlight like
most of us need oxygen. The “messiah,” or the self-proclaimed “One,” does not
see these problems. If he does, they are mere details, trivialities, nothing
that cannot be silver-tongued away.
The reality is that Obama is spent. His false magic
is no longer. He has become a cartoon figure to many Americans and more
foreigners. Familiarity has produced contempt. He is a fraud, a man who never
was anything other than a carefully scripted and wonderfully executed marketing
The product, however, doesn’t work. Marketing made
the first sale, but success is repeated only if the product performs. Snake oil
is never purchased a second time. Instead of the brilliant problem-solving
uniter much of the nation believed they were buying, they got an incompetent,
small, and not likeable mountebank.
Mr. Obama lives in his own world, surrounded by
sycophants. They undoubtedly know his run is over and that he no longer fools
most of the people. Yet they are afraid to tell him. We are witnessing a
modern-day political tragedy, not unlike the one that occurred with Richard
Obama sees none of this. It probably has never
entered his mind that he is a failure or will not run. His supporters, namely
the Democrat Party and the mainstream media, will intervene. Their survival and
credibility demands it. There will come a “meeting with Nixon” moment. If that
fails, and it is very likely, Obama will be destroyed by one or both of these
Interests of the Democratic
The political environment is horrible for Democrats.
Obama’s policies, ineptitude, and unpopularity are responsible for much of
this. Many elected Democrats are afraid for their political careers. Obama is
increasingly seen as an albatross in the coming election.
Previously unthinkable election “upsets” have occurred
— the loss of the “Kennedy Seat” in Massachusetts was the first. The 2010
election was a rout. Subsequent special elections affirmed that the trend
continues. Jonah Goldberg
commented on the most recent result: the seat that once belonged to Geraldine
Ferraro, Chuck Schumer, and Anthony Weiner went to Republican Bob Turner — the
first time it has gone Republican since 1923.
The idea of Obama resigning for the good of the party
has been raised. Steve Chapman of
the Chicago Tribune said:
Obama might do his party a big favor. In hard times,
voters have a powerful urge to punish incumbents. He could slake this thirst by
stepping aside and taking the blame. Then someone less reviled could replace him
at the top of the ticket.
About a year ago I predicted political cannibalism:
The next two years will be hard on Obama. As much as
he is hated by freedom-lovers in the country, it is likely that he will be hated
more by his remaining Democrats. The Party is in tatters. It is in danger of
disappearing as a political entity as a result of following this false prophet.
This Pied Piper, instead of getting the American people to follow, led Democrat
politicians to their political death. The survivors will not forget, nor will
they continue to march to the tune of this false
We are about to witness politics at its ugliest. It
will be Republicans against Democrats of course. But that will be less
intriguing than the Democrats against Obama. Political survival trumps
loyalty. If Obama is as ineffectual as I believe he will be, he will be
devoured by angry Democrats anxious to avenge the political deaths of their
We have reached this point. Democrats have the motive
to get rid of Obama, but do they have the means?
The Solyndra Affair
Solyndra, the “green energy” failure, is an example of
how Obama could be leveraged out of office. Chicago-style politics suggests
that there may be other “Solyndras” in the closet.
described Solyndra as follows:
The bankruptcy of solar-panel maker Solyndra neatly
encapsulates the economic, political and intellectual bankruptcy of Barack
Obama’s Big Idea. It was the president’s intention back in 2009 to begin
centrally reorganizing the U.S. economy around the supposed climate-change
Even after getting the loan, Solyndra spent $187,000
on lobbying efforts, according to Bloomberg,
including trying to get the White House to push government agencies to install
its panels on the rooftops of federal buildings and extend “buy American” rules
that favor U.S. companies. Instead of revenue-seeking, Solyndra was
“rent-seeking,” which means trying to make money by manipulating
Andrew C. McCarthy
described Solyndra as criminal fraud:
The Solyndra debacle is not just Obama-style crony
socialism as usual. It is a criminal fraud. That is the theory that would be
guiding any competent prosecutor’s office in the investigation of a scheme that
cost victims – in this case, American taxpayers – a
The magnitude of the Solyndra loss needs
investigation. The mood of the country demands it. Taxpayers are furious about
Washington wasting their money and indebting their children. This company
represents one half-billion wasted, under questionable circumstances. How many
other similar “deals” might be heading for the same fate?
Political chicanery of this magnitude and in these
times will not be ignored. The FBI jumped in early. According to
other investigations are underway:
There are at least four investigations running on the
legal, political and financial ties between the Obama administration and the
California solar company that filed for bankruptcy protection last
It is likely that Solyndra contains enough
incriminating information for Congress to force Obama from office (see
especially the slide show). Potentially there are other Solyndras out
Congressional investigations are typically held for
little more than Washington tourists. When a president is suspected of extreme
stupidity or a crime, it is conventional for his party to do everything possible
to thwart the investigation. Bill Clinton was an example of
Democrats would like to rid themselves of Albatross
Obama. Under normal circumstances it might not be possible without risking the
alienation of key constituencies. A criminal investigation, however, provides
the opportunity for modern-day regicide.
The Solyndra investigation(s) will be different,
because congressional Democrats view their situation as worse if they protect
the man than if he is dumped. So Solyndra or a counterpart will be a bipartisan
investigative effort. Democrats might have incentives to be even more
aggressive in pursuit of the truth than Republicans. None of this will be
driven by the pursuit of justice or the Rule of Law. It will be driven by
Appearing tough in the investigation would serve to
distance Democrats from their titular head. If there is a smoking gun,
Democrats will pursue it. If they see an opportunity to take out the king, they
may go for it. If there is a “smoking gun,” this will end more like a Richard
Nixon than a Bill Clinton.
Barack Obama won the Democrat nomination because the
mainstream media adopted him and went out of their way to ensure that he, rather
than Hillary Clinton, won. As expressed by the Rex
American journalism will have to look back at the
period starting with Barrack Obama’s rise, his assumption of the presidency and
his conduct in it to the present, and ask itself how it came to cast aside so
many of its vital functions. In the main, the establishment American media
abandoned its critical faculties during the Obama campaign and it hasn’t
reclaimed them since.
As a result, the press gave the great American
republic an untried, unknown, and, it is becoming more and more frighteningly
clear, incompetent figure as president. Under Obama, America’s foreign policies
are a mixture of confusion and costly impotence. They are increasingly bypassed
or derided; the great approach to the Muslim world, symbolized by the Cairo
speech, is in tatters. America’s debt and deficits are a weight on the entire
global economy. And the office of presidency is less and less a symbol of
To the degree the press neglected its function as
watchdog and turned cupbearer to a styrofoam demigod, it is a partner in the
flaws and failures of what is turning out to be one of the most miserable
performances in the modern history of the American presidency.
A tipping point appears to have been reached in the
last month or so. The myth of Obama has ended. There is now open talk from the
media that Obama cannot win in 2012.
Just as Democrats don’t want a pariah at the top of
the ticket, many in the media do not want to continue plugging what is obviously
a failed candidate. The protective shield that existed is being dismantled.
The press is more interested in saving what credibility they have left, rather
than justifying an increasingly indefensible and broken
Investigative reporting, so obviously missing when
Obama was The Next Coming, is likely to be cranked up. The media will fully
cover any official investigations. Furthermore, entrepreneurs within their
ranks and within the internet community are likely to focus on filling in the
blanks in Obama’s missing past.
The attraction of being the next Woodward or Bernstein
is strong. Now that it is acceptable to attack, if not destroy, the fallen
hero, look for lots of new information to come out. The chance to “change
history” is an overpowering incentive for cub and seasoned
This is a very dangerous time for the president. Two
of his two biggest supporters have incentives to remove him from
Any investigations are likely to be real. That does
not mean that President Obama is not getting a fair shake. His problem is that
justice, for all the wrong reasons, will be getting a fair shake. That is
usually fatal for politicians under investigation.
Loyalty in politics starts and stops with personal
self-interest. The old saying, “If you want a friend in Washington, get a dog,”
still holds. Obama has few friends, even in his own party. Fortunately he has
a dog. I hope it likes him, because most of the country no longer
How does it end? My guess is that investigations go
forward and are used to leverage Obama out of office. He will “choose” not to
run for reelection. He understands Chicago-style politics, even when he is on
the wrong end.
His psyche is such that he must be loved, if not
worshiped, and that will never be again, at least not in this