A year into his tenure, a majority of Americans would already vote against Pres. Obama if the ’12 elections were held today, according to a new survey.
The Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll shows 50% say they would probably or definitely vote for someone else. Fully 37% say they would definitely cast a ballot against Obama. Meanwhile, just 39% would vote to re-elect the pres. to a 2nd term, and only 23% say they definitely would do so.
Obama’s first year in office has been marked by an unemployment rate that surged to 10%, an increased commitment of troops to Afghanistan and a health care battle that has taken a serious political toll on the WH.
Obama’s approval rating is down to 47%, the poll showed, a 14-point drop since the April survey. 45% disapprove, up 17 points from April. Only 41% say they trust Obama more than Congressional GOPers, while 33% pick the GOP over the WH. That 8-point gap is down from a 21-point edge Obama sported as recently as Sept.
Just 34% say the country is moving in the right direction, down 13 points since April, and 55% say it is off on the wrong track, up 13 points over the same period.
But as GOPers focus on taxes and spending, that message seems to be causing Obama the most harm. Among those who believe Obama’s policies have moved the country in the wrong direction, 45% cite spending and government regulation as a top cause for their opposition.
Meanwhile, those who think Obama’s policies are moving the country down the right track largely cite long-term benefits of his initiatives.
In the meantime, health care legislation is by no means popular, but a majority of Americans don’t oppose the legislation yet. 44% said they support the legislation under consideration, down 5 points from the last poll in Sept., while 46% oppose it.
The poll, conducted by Financial Dynamics, surveyed 1,200 adults between Jan. 3-7 for a margin of error of +/- 2.8%.
For more on the Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll, see Ron Brownstein‘s take on a distrustful America and the withering green shoots after a year under the Obama admin. Full poll results are available here [pdf].
January 14th, 2010
by Tom Bevan, Real Clear Politics
Obama doesn’t care what the people want, he wants to push his radical agenda
Today’s Quinnipiac poll shows that only 36% approve of the way Obama is handling the issue of “creating jobs” while six in ten disapprove. Incidentally, that’s a net 6-point decline for Obama on this question from just one month ago.
Forty-seven percent of those surveyed in the Quinnipiac survey – including a majority of Indpendents – say Obama has not spent enough time tending to the economy.
In the most recent CNN poll, the economy is the number one issue of importance to those surveyed by an order of magnitude, as it has been in every poll taken since President Obama entered office. Yet solid majorities in the CNN poll disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy (54%), unemployment (54%), and the deficit (62%).
Ditto the most recent CBS News/NY Times poll, where 44% say “the economy and jobs” are the most important problem facing the country and 47% disapprove of the way the President is handling the issue of the economy.
After a full year of almost exclusively focusing on health care – an issue that only 10-15% of voters say is most important to them to begin with and only 38.7% of the public now approves of the bills being rammed through Congress - it’s no wonder 50% of voters in both the CNN and the Quinnipiac polls now say they do not believe President Obama shares their views on the issue of most importance to them.
Put another way, President Obama demonstrated during his first year in office that he either didn’t understand the concerns of the electorate or, worse still, he ignored those concerns to pursue his own agenda.
January 14th, 2010
By: MICHAEL BARONE, Washington Examiner
Substance versus style
In his New York Times column last week, David Brooks contrasted “the educated class,” which supports Barack Obama and his liberal worldview, with the tea party movement, “a large, fractious confederation of Americans who are defined by what they are against, … the concentrated power of the educated class.”
Many conservatives read Brooks as putting down the tea partiers. I think he was indicating distaste for both sides. “I’m not a fan” of the tea party movement, he wrote, but he also noted, “Every single idea associated with the educated class has grown more unpopular over the year.”
Still, it sounds like Brooks was indulging the conceit of so many liberals that they are, well, simply smarter than conservatives.
But when you look back over the surges of enthusiasm in the politics of the last two years, you see something like this: The Obama enthusiasts who dominated so much of the 2008 campaign cycle were motivated by style. The tea party protesters who dominated so much of 2009 were motivated by substance.
[Among other positions,] he is administrator of the state Catastrophic Health Care Program, or CAT fund, and an attorney for … Counties Risk Management Program, or ICRMP. [Joe's] work for government agencies brings his law firm more than $600,000 annually.
In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided.Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP.Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.
Perhaps the RNC has learned (by now) that Specter is a Democrat. But don’t count on it. The RNC has a long history of “discouraging” primary opposition to incumbent Republicans. (Even worse, the RNC has discouraged opposition by conservatives to liberals anointed by the GOP.) This is part of the reason why people are leaving the GOP in droves for the nonexistent Tea Party. Better to have no menu at all than the one stale item offered so frequently on GOP menu.
Larrey Anderson is a writer, a philosopher, and submissions editor for American Thinker. He is the author of The Order of the Beloved, and the memoir Underground: Life and Survival in the Russian Black Market.
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