Massachusetts Earthquake Rumblings?
Rasmussen is the first major polling organization to poll the Massachusetts Senate special election, and the “pre-released” poll numbers show Martha Coakley (D) with just a 9% lead over Scott Brown (R), which would be consistent with other polls. This post will be updated with further analysis once the official numbers are released. [See Update No. 2 below – official results released – Brown within 2% among people who definitely will vote and has a large lead among independents.]
This is better than I expected for Brown. Coakley has been a statewide figure for years, and has much better name recognition, SEIU and other union support, and the Massachusetts Democratic machine behind her. Obama won the state by over 20%, and Coakley should have had at least a mid-teens lead at this point.
But as I have noted, Coakley’s tactic of acting like the election already is over may be backfiring. While Brown was hitting the pavement the past three weeks, Coakley took a six day vacation. Wrong message. Coakley is ducking a one-on-one debate with Brown. Wrong message.
Until recently, Martha Coakley, the Democrat in the race, has been refusing to do any debates for the special election insisting, “I’ve already won this, there’s no point in wasting any time debating. I’m on vacation.”But, suddenly she had a change of heart – but only if Joe Kennedy was allowed to debate too. She did not want to appear with just Scott Brown alone. That tells us two things:(1) Martha Coakley is a crazy person, because have you seen Scott Brown? We’d spend time alone with him anytime, anyplace, twice on Sundays. That man is Hottie McAwesome in our book.(2) Martha Coakley wants a chance to tell Massachusetts voters that Joe Kennedy is not one of “THE Kennedys”, the ones that cover up murders and rapes and treat Massachusetts as their personal fiefdom.We think Coakley’s been quietly polling in secret and believes enough voters will be confused and muscle-memory vote KENNEDY on January 19th that she needs to come out and force Joe Kennedy to say on radio and television that he’s not a member of the “American royalty” Kennedys.
Page Printed from: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/01/massachusetts_earthquake_rumbl.html at January 05, 2010 – 11:40:42 AM EST