The Terrorist Roadmap for the Future

The Terrorist Roadmap for the Future
Terrorism Laura Mansfield
May 10, 2007
 

News media reports describe this morning’s terrorist suspects, who planned an attack on Ft. Dix, NJ, as homegrown with no ties to al Qaeda or any other international terrorist organization.

This isn’t surprising in the least.

It is very likely that this cell, like numerous others that have been uncovered in the past year, falls into the category of “Individual or Small Group Terrorism”, as espoused by the Al Qaeda ideologue Abu Mus’ab al Suri in his book “Call to Global Islamic Resistance”.

The doctrine of “Individual or Small Group Terrorism” is a major concept in al Suri’s 1604-page manifesto, published on the internet in December 2004.

Al Suri, who is believed to be currently in US custody, describes three primary phases of Jihad in the book:

▪ Organizations
▪ Open Fronts
▪ Individual/Small Groups

He explains in depth each of these phases, and makes a strong case that the wave of the future is individual and small group terrorists.

He believes that the days of the larger groups, such as the Muslim Brotherhood, are close to ending, citing the increased effectiveness of security forces in breaking up the groups, as well as the security risks posed in top-down, chain of command structures. A primary concern of Al Suri was that an arrest of anyone in the chain could compromise all those involved.

Likewise, he believes that the days of the “Open Front” for jihad are over, citing overwhelming force of the US as a factor limiting the viability of “open fronts”. One key element found in “Open Fronts”, such as Afghanistan and Chechnya is the opportunity for organized group trainings – the training camps of Afghanistan, for example.

Instead, he believes the future of jihad is for individuals and small groups, with no chains connecting them to Al Qaeda leadership. He points out the geographical and financial limitations, claiming that individual and small group jihad in one’s own country is the only realistic opportunity most have to participate in jihad. He believes that few will actually make the trip to an open front to participate.

The concept of individual and small group terror cells is one that Al Suri finds particularly intriguing, and he seems to find in this doctrine solutions for the problems and risks posed by the other two stages of jihad.

Training, which was formerly conducted in remote terror training camps, could be provided both in book form, and even more importantly, on the internet. He describes a sort of “training template” that can be followed those aspiring to embark on jihad, ensuring a level of training for all who follow the template closely.

There’s certainly no shortage of training materials for would-be jihadists on the internet – from instructional videos detailing the brewing of explosives, the construction of a suicide bomb vest, and multiple kinds of improvised explosives devices, to detailed recipes for creating chemical and biological weapons. Detailed training manuals provide the trainee with a roadmap to physical fitness. Online publications, the most famous being Moaskar al Battar, detail how to maintain and use firearms from pistols to automatic weapons, as well as operational plans such as how to plan an ambush, a kidnapping, and an assassination

Security is easier, he believes, because the individuals and groups don’t have to take marching orders from the Al Qaeda leadership. Instead, they can act on their own, inspired by events in their own countries. The glue bonding them to the organization is a shared ideology and theology, and a commitment to jihad.

Al Suri covers the recruitment angle as well. Individuals and small cells are to be set up by a “cell organizer”, a regional manager of sorts, who goes from place to place providing seed money, and helping the groups get established and become self-sustaining. The key requirement for the regional manager is that he must leave the area before operations commerce (or else he must participate in a martyrdom mission) because he is the only element that ties these small groups to a larger terror group.

The individual cells then plan their own missions, drawing inspiration from the wide range of jihadist propaganda on the web. It is likely that providing this inspiration is a key reason for the continued proliferation of videos showing attacks. In fact, the video speeches from Al Qaeda leadership in effect become the only means of communicating with these small groups, and that communication is one way; the small groups and individuals have no way to respond except by carrying out an attack.

Financing is something else that Al Suri touches upon. Once the seed money has been provided to set up the cells, the cells are required to become self-sustaining. We’ve seen alleged terror cells use many different sources of funding. In fact, almost anything that doesn’t leave much of a paper trail is ideal for funding a terror cells, including criminal activity such as drug sales, drug and cigarette smuggling, food stamp fraud, and credit card fraud Some enterprising cells set up more formal businesses, such a restaurants, grocery stores, ice cream stands and trucks, flower sales, and so on.

The key is that there is no money trail to follow back to a central organization. In future terror attacks, there won’t be a Mohamed Atta wiring unused funds back to his handlers. Instead, for all intents and purposes, the cells will appear to be free-standing, inspired by internet propaganda, but with no discernable ties to an organized terror group.

“No discernable ties to an organized terror group.” I suspect we’ll be hearing that phrase quite a bit in the coming days.

Laura Mansfield is a counterterrorism analyst. She maintains a website at www.lauramansfield.com.

“We Will Succeed In Iraq”

“We Will Succeed In Iraq”

As Democrats Continue To Pursue Politics Over Intelligent War Strategy, They Pass Another Political Maneuver Disguised As An Actual Bill

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Rep. Nancy Pelosi on a recent trip to the Middle East

Dem’s Political Game Instead Of Waging A Winning War

Surrendercrats Threaten War Effort, Military Pay

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Bush: ‘We will succeed in Iraq’
Posted by Mark Silva at 6:25 am CDT

“We will succeed in Iraq,” President Bush said last night at a fundraising gala for the Republican Party.

The Republican National Committee succeeded in raising $10.5 million at the presidential gala, a $1,500-per-person evening at a “heavy appetizer buffet” with a shimmering neon lava-lamp décor in the airplane hangar-like hall of the DC Armory.

“I believe we’re the party of the doer, the dreamer, the people that work,” the president told Republican donors assembled here. “I believe we’re the party of low taxes. And I know we’re the party of strong national defense to protect the United States of America.”

With the warm-up music of a PA system pumping old Tom Jones favorites and a Pink Pantheresque lineup leading to the real evening’s entertainment, the Liquid Pleasure Band, an expected crowd of 800 – though turnout seemed somewhat short of that – moved toward the rail before the stage to see the president explain the war, the economy and his vision for education and hear him remind all that a party that stands for something is a winning party.

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Brave soldiers in the George Soros/Moveon.org/Daily Kos Army – America’s finest, right? Don’t these guys make you sleep well at night knowing that they’re there to protect you? Or do you think these protesters are only capable of crapping themselves in fear if threatened?

“It’s important that we succeed in Iraq and send a clear message to the people” who threaten this nation’s security, the president said. “I don’t want it to be said 50 years from now, what happened to America in 2007, how come they forgot the lessons of September the 11th, how come they couldn’t see the impending dangers facing a generation of Americans? I want you to know I see the impending dangers. I understand the consequences of this historic moment. And we will succeed in Iraq.”

(Read More)

Posted by Pat Dollard 10 Comments

New AP Poll: America Does Not Support Democrat Congress’ War Plan

New AP Poll: America Does Not Support Democrat Congress’ War

Plan

Congress’ Approval Rating Drops To Just 35% – “It’s Mostly Iraq”

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Friday May 11, 2007 11:16 AM

By ALAN FRAM

Associated Press Writer

WASHINGTON (AP) – People think the Democratic-led Congress is doing just as dreary a job as President Bush, following four months of bitter political standoffs that have seen little progress on Iraq and a host of domestic issues.

The survey found only 35 percent approve of how Congress is handling its job, down 5 percentage points in a month.
(Read More)

Another June War?

Another June War?

The fighting could start as early as next month; but Israel’s worst-ever government is asleep at the switch.

40 years after the Six-Day War, which began on June 5, 1967, Jerusalem’s front-line Arab enemies–Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas–are planning a major assault on the Jewish state with the backing of Saudi Arabia and nuclearizing, non-Arab Iran. The latter foe, which has been ruled by a monstrous mullahocracy for nearly three decades, has the same ambitious war aim as the Lebanese and Palestinian terror-armies: Israel’s physical destruction. As such, Iran could become directly involved in the fighting, raining missiles down on Israeli cities and possibly attacking, via terrorist surrogates, with radiological dirty bombs … assuming, that is, that the Islamist regime has not already acquired nuclear warheads.

Not for nothing does Iran’s Hitler-admiring (but Holocaust-denying) monster-in-chief, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, promise his followers “a world without Zionism.” He is working overtime to make their horrific dream a reality.

In contrast with Iran, Syria’s objectives are more modest: the “liberation” of the Golan Heights and rubbling of Israel’s northern cities. The Baathist regime, which is increasingly menaced by an Islamist revival, seeks to erase the “stain of defeat” at the hands of Israeli forces–and earn the respect of the Muslim world by delivering death and destruction to the “little Satan” through massive missile attacks and use of chemical weapons.

Israeli Arabs are also likely to join the fighting: terror cells, including units linked to Al Qaeda, are believed to be planning a major uprising, or intifada, as well as waves of suicide bombings. Like Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas, Islamized Israeli Arabs sense an opportunity to change history.

The Decline of Europe

The Decline of Europe

A quote from Walter Laqueur in The Chronicle Review, 11 May 2007

True, the achievements of the European welfare state had been remarkable. Americans can only dream about a 35-hour work week or five weeks of paid holidays a year. But the problem was that all those social-assistance programs were affordable only as long as substantial economic growth took place. […] Future historians may well be at a loss to understand why the sorry state of affairs was realized only late in the day, despite the fact that all the major trends — demography, the stalling of the movement toward European unity, and the crisis of the welfare state — had appeared well before the turn of the century.

The decline of the Roman Empire has been discussed for centuries, and it could be that the discussion about the decline of Europe will last as long. Decline often does not proceed as quickly as feared; there are usually retarding circumstances. But it is also true that, for better or worse, the pulse of history is beating quicker in our time than before.

[…] Surely decline offers challenges that ought to be taken up, even if there is no certainty of success. No one can say with any confidence what problems the powers that now appear to be in the ascendancy will face in the years to come. And even if Europe’s decline is now irreversible, there is no reason that it should become a collapse. There is, however, a precondition — something that has been postponed. The debate should be about which of Europe’s traditions and values can still be saved.

How Can Anybody Trust This Parliament?

How Can Anybody Trust This Parliament?

One of my regular rants about the European Parliament is that it is almost entirely unaccountable. Over 80% of the votes are by show of hands, thus there are no possible records as to how people vote. This in turn means that the electorate have no way of knowing what their MEP has done, and cannot judge them on their actions.

Remember what they vote on becomes law. And breach of laws created here in Brussels can be prosecuted with prison and/or fines. Therefore it would be nice to think that the votes are accurately counted.

Yesterday this happened,

“During voting on a report by Mr. Kaczmarek on EU partnership in the Horn of Africa, amendment No. 5 was declared ‘Rejected’ by the chairman Vidal-Quadras, having assessed the show of hands ‘for’ and ‘against’ the amendment.
The call for an electronic check revealed that it had actually been APPROVED by no less than 567 votes to 17 (with 18 abstentions).
He blamed the MEPs for ‘not holding their hands high enough’!
I close my case.”

This came from Graham Booth, UKIP MEP for the South Western Counties who has been running a campaign to have every single voted electronically counted (What we call RCV – Roll Call Vote). When he wrote to the president of Parliament he was told that to count the votes would, first take too long, after all many members have flights to catch. Better still it was pointed out that they would also miss their lunches.

Mock “Day Labor” sites on pro-illegal politicos lawns